Jan 022012
 

I’m recommending you read these three pieces that analyze where we’ve been and where we might be headed. One by a social critic/novelist and Peak Oil messenger (Kunstler), a second by a S. American journalist (Escobar), and the last by an organic chemist (Collum). They are quite long. You might want to wait for a rainy day. (Click the name for the link).

James Kunstler

Brief excerpt: “… wrap your mind around life in an economy organized around farming, with a much sparser distribution of big urban centers, and far fewer people overall. Don’t imagine for a moment that your grandchildren will be zinging across the landscape in electric cars sampling one theme park after another while “networking” with “friends” on cyborg social networks implanted in their brain jellies. Think of them grooming their mules in the summer twilight.”

Pepe Escobar

Excerpt: Anti-Americanism is on the raise everywhere in the world.

Pepe Escobar: Except in the Persian Gulf. (laughs.)

Would you say it’s a bit tragic given the friendliness of the ordinary American people?

Pepe Escobar: It’s true. I have been going to the U.S. since I was a kid, I traveled to at least 40 states, I lived there on both coasts, I have friends in the U.S., a lot of people who read my stuff know where I am coming from, but I also have a lot of readers who are saying: you are a Taliban-Communist-Apocalyptic-Anti-American bla-bla-bla – the whole thing. They still don’t get it.

One thing is to be very fond of the country and American pop culture, American entertainment, American icons in music, in literature, in cinema, in architecture, in art etc., and another thing is to criticize their foreign policy. If you grew up like myself, I grew up in Brazil and Europe during the 1960/70′s – the military dictatorship installed in Brazil in 1964, when I was ten years old, was an American coup.”

David Collum

Excerpt: “So why do people care what an organic chemist thinks about investing, economics, monetary policy, and societal moods? I can only offer a few thoughts. For starters, in 32 years of investing I had only one year in which my total wealth decreased in nominal dollars; whatever I am doing has worked. I also ride the blogs hard, am fairly good at distilling complexity down to simplicity, seem to be a congenital contrarian, and am pretty well connected (for a chemist). I am Joe Sixpack, a 99er of sorts with a growing unease.”

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  3 Responses to “Reflections on 2011; Predictions for 2012”

  1. I’ve enjoyed watching the transitions of Lummi Island for the past 66 years. There have been many. From the old Chief Kwina, 6-car ferry, unable to handle all the traffic, and being joined by the Acorn, to handle the load. Then both ferries being replaced by the modern steel Whatcom Chief. Tubby Ford’s Library/Post Office, across from the Beach School, and the Library being moved to the house behind our current Post Office, and finally to it’s current location. Our current Post Office, when it was Willie Roughton’s Auto/Outboard Repair Shop. The Islander Store when it was a Gas Station/Laundromat, then transitioning between about four iterations of store ownership/management. I watched the old Beach Store transition from Harold Long’s everything-store, to the Smith’s attempts to operate it, and then all the transitions of ownership/management as a restaurant. I watched the busy Hawley’s Marina in Legoe Bay (by the way, it is pronounced LEE-Go, not LAY-GO), with the long docks, and wooden rental-boats available for the visiting fishermen. The small, but wonderful Seagull Café, nestled between the rental cabins, the summer traffic of all the visitors coming and going. I remember watching the slow collapse of buildings and piers from the once bustling Carlyle Cannery at Village Point, and the ones in the bay at Lane Spit. Floyd Tuttle building his Village Point Marina, only to have the launch facility destroyed in a winter storm. Then several transitions of a restaurant at the site. I watched as the old Dickenson house, one of the two last remaining homes at the Village Point Cannery site, sadly go up in flames from a tragic fire. I have seen many of my favorite Islanders pass away, in a transition we all more closely approach.

    I must admit, I don’t worry as much about the small day-to-day transitions that 2012 will bring, in the World, in the economy, or on Lummi Island, as perhaps I should. Businesses may close, or come under new management, new people will arrive, old timers will pass on, some folks will decide the island isn’t where they belong. Things will change. Some for the good, some with sadness. This is transition Lummi Island. We all need to prepare, either in our minds, or how we continue to exist here. However we chose to do it, enjoy the journey, it won’t go on forever.

  2. Love Ed Scotts passionate views of changes over the years and enjoyed reading his reply. Question that I ask any Transition Community is this. Are they prepared for a transition that is not over a 66 year period. Transition can come very swift and furious and catch many people off guard!

  3. Can anyone give current information on what was Hawley’s Marina on Legoe Bay? I am Vern’s granddaughter and enjoyed many summers on the island and fishing from the dock.

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